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Prospective Strategy for Baltic Defense

机译：波罗的海防御的前瞻性战略

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摘要

The public defense debate concerning the Baltic States has tended to focus on matters relating to the immediate defense and early period of a hypothetical war with Russia. There is good reason for this, as the problems NATO would face are grave. However, it is also necessary to think further into the future and grapple with considerations of war termination. Ending any war in the name of Baltic defense with success would be a difficult endeavor as the geostrategic conditions inherently benefit Russia. Perhaps NATO's best opportunity to exert active pressure on Russia for the purposes of war termination would come from the Kremlins pervasive suspicion of the strength and loyalty of its own citizenry. Russia recognizes this and has been making consistent efforts over the past two decades to strengthen and mentally fortify the Russian public. Heightened Western information efforts aimed at Russian public opinion are nonetheless worthy of further and more detailed consideration for eventual strategic effect.
机译：关于波罗的海国家的公共辩护辩论往往集中在与立即防御和与俄罗斯进行假想战争的初期有关的问题上。这样做有充分的理由，因为北约将面临的问题是严重的。但是，也有必要对未来做进一步的思考，并考虑战争终止的考虑。要成功地以波罗的海防御的名义结束任何战争将是艰巨的努力，因为地缘战略条件本来就使俄罗斯受益。北约为终止战争而对俄罗斯施加积极压力的最佳机会可能来自克里姆林宫普遍怀疑其本国公民的实力和忠诚度。俄罗斯认识到这一点，并且在过去的二十年中一直在不断努力，以加强和增强俄罗斯公众的精神。尽管如此，针对俄罗斯公众舆论的西方信息宣传工作仍然值得进一步和更详细地考虑最终的战略效果。

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  • 来源
    《Military review》 |2018年第1期|58-70|共13页
  • 作者

    Lukas Milevski;

  • 作者单位

    University of Leiden in the Netherland;

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  • 正文语种 eng
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