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Seismic Risk Mitigation Decisions at Ports: Multiple Challenges, Multiple Perspectives

机译：港口减震决策：多重挑战，多重视角

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摘要

This paper examines opportunities for seismic risk mitigation decisions at U.S. maritime ports, with special reference to the role of stakeholders and the quality of the decision-making processes used to inform seismic risk initiatives. The authors first present an overview of some of the major issues faced by port managers in thinking about how to respond to a potential earthquake event. Next, a representative decision-aiding process that may assist managers in developing a defensible seismic risk-management strategy is discussed. With this context in mind, the authors review their experience at a case-study port that faces the possibility of a large earthquake and note-despite some recent progress in developing emergency response plans-the relatively low level of both port preparation for potential earthquakes and stakeholder participation in risk mitigation planning. It is concluded that increased attention to the quality of stakeholder input is likely to improve port seismic risk-management decision processes. In a final section, several recommendations for ways to enhance the involvement of key port stakeholders and, in turn, the likely effectiveness of seismic risk-management choices are provided.
机译：本文研究了在美国海港缓解地震风险的决策机会，并特别参考了利益相关者的角色以及用于为地震风险倡议提供信息的决策过程的质量。作者首先概述了港口管理者在思考如何应对潜在地震事件时面临的一些主要问题。接下来，讨论了可以帮助管理人员制定合理的地震风险管理策略的代表性决策辅助过程。考虑到这一背景，作者回顾了他们在案例研究港口的经验，该港口面临大地震的可能性，尽管在制定应急响应计划方面取得了一些新进展，但港口为潜在地震和地震的准备水平相对较低。利益相关者参与风险缓解计划。结论是，对利益相关者投入质量的更多关注可能会改善港口地震风险管理决策过程。在最后一节中，提供了一些建议，这些建议旨在增强主要港口利益相关者的参与，进而提高地震风险管理选择的有效性。

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  • 来源
    《Natural Hazards Review》 |2012年第1期|p.88-95|共8页
  • 作者

    R. Gregory; M. Harstone; G. J. Rix; A. Bostrom;

  • 作者单位

    Decision Research, 1201 Oak St., Suite 200, Eugene, OR 97401;

    Compass Resource Management, Suite 200, 1260 Hamilton Street, Vancouver, B.C., Canada V6B 2S8;

    Georgia Institute of Technology, School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, 790 Atlantic Dr., Atlanta, GA 33032-0355;

    Dean of Research, Daniel J. Evans School of Public Affairs, niv. of Washington, 327 Parrington Hall, Box 353055, Seattle, WA 98195-3055;

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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
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  • 关键词

    seismic risk mitigation decisions;

    机译：减轻地震风险的决策;

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