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首页> 外文期刊>Nature environment and pollution technology >A Study on the Relationship Among Fossil Energy Consumption, Air Pollution, and Economic Development in Hebei Province
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A Study on the Relationship Among Fossil Energy Consumption, Air Pollution, and Economic Development in Hebei Province

机译：河北省化石能源消耗，空气污染与经济发展之间的关系研究

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摘要

Fossil energy supports the normal operation of economic life and has become increasingly important in the development of the national economy. Along with the rapid development of the economy of Hebei Province, problems related to air pollution have become increasingly prominent. Fossil energy consumption accounts for 90% of the total energy consumption of Hebei province, the major driver of which is the combustion of fossil energy. This study collects the time series data of fossil energy consumption and air pollution in Hebei province from 2000 to 2013 and investigates their short- and long-term relationships through co-integration testing and causality testing. A panel model for fossil energy consumption and the economic development of 11 cities in Hebei province is then established, and empirical analysis is conducted using varying-coefficient regression models. Results show that the consumption of fossil energy causes more serious air pollution and constitutes the Granger causality of the aggravation of air pollution. Fossil energy consumption and air pollution are characterized by at least three relationships: a long-term balanced co-integration relationship, a short-term dynamic adjustment mechanism, and a one-way causation. Fossil energy consumption and economic growth are characterized by a long-term co-integration relationship, with regional differences across the 11 cities of Hebei province. Finally, this study proposes relevant suggestions to rationalize the coordinated development between environment and economy, which can ensure the economic growth rate and at the same time reduce the air pollution caused by fossil energy consumption.
机译：化石能源支持经济生活的正常运转，在国民经济发展中已变得越来越重要。随着河北省经济的快速发展，与空气污染有关的问题日益突出。化石能源消耗占河北省能源消费总量的90％，其中主要的驱动因素是化石能源的燃烧。本研究收集了2000年至2013年河北省化石能源消耗和空气污染的时间序列数据，并通过协整检验和因果关系检验研究了它们之间的短期和长期关系。然后建立了河北省11个城市化石能源消费和经济发展的面板模型，并使用变系数回归模型进行了实证分析。结果表明，化石能源的消耗造成了更严重的空气污染，并构成了加剧空气污染的格兰杰因果关系。化石能源消耗和空气污染的特征至少在于三个关系：长期平衡的协整关系，短期动态调整机制和单向因果关系。化石能源消耗和经济增长具有长期的协整关系，在河北省11个城市之间存在地区差异。最后，本研究提出了合理化环境与经济协调发展的相关建议，既可以保证经济增长速度，又可以减少化石能源消耗对空气的污染。

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