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A safe operating space for humanity

机译:人类安全的工​​作空间

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1.New approach proposed for defining preconditions for human developmentrn2. Crossing certain biophysical thresholds could have disastrous consequences for humanityrn3. Three of nine interlinked planetary boundaries have already been overstepped.rn Although Earth has undergone many periods of significant environmental change, the planets environment has been unusually stable for the past 10,000 years. This period of stability - known to geologists as the Holocene - has seen human civilizations arise, develop and thrive. Such stability may now be under threat. Since the Industrial Revolution, a new era has arisen, the Anthropocene, in which human actions have become the main driver of global environmental change. This could see human activities push the Earth system outside the stable environmental state of the Holocene, with consequences that are detrimental or even catastrophic for large parts of the world.
机译:1.提出了确定人类发展前提条件的新方法。超过某些生物物理阈值可能对人类造成灾难性的后果。九个相互关联的行星边界中的三个已经被超越。rn尽管地球经历了许多重大的环境变化时期,但在过去的10,000年中,行星的环境异常稳定。这个稳定时期-被地质学家称为全新世-见证了人类文明的产生,发展和繁荣。这样的稳定​​现在可能受到威胁。自工业革命以来,人类文明已经出现了一个新时代,人类行动已成为全球环境变化的主要驱动力。这可能会看到人类活动将地球系统推到全新世的稳定环境状态之外,其后果对世界大部分地区都是有害的,甚至是灾难性的。

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  • 来源
    《Nature》 |2009年第24期|472-475|共4页
  • 作者单位

    Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Kraeftriket 2B, 10691 Stockholm, Sweden Stockholm Environment Institute, Kraeftriket 2B, 10691 Stockholm, Sweden;

    Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Kraeftriket 2B, 10691 Stockholm, Sweden ANU Climate Change Institute, Australian National University, Canberra ACT 0200, Australia;

    Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Kraeftriket 2B, 10691 Stockholm, Sweden Department of Applied Environmental Science, Stockholm University,10691 Stockholm, Sweden;

    Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Kraeftriket 2B, 10691 Stockholm, Sweden Stockholm Environment Institute, Kraeftriket 2B, 10691 Stockholm, Sweden;

    Institute of Arctic Biology, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, Alaska 99775, USA;

    Department of Geography, Universite Catholique de Louvain, 3 place Pasteur, B-1348 Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium;

    School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK;

    Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management Group, Wageningen University, PO Box 9101, 6700 HB Wageningen, the Netherlands;

    Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Kraeftriket 2B, 10691 Stockholm, Sweden The Beijer Institute of Ecological Economics, Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, PO Box 50005,10405 Stockholm, Sweden;

    Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, PO Box 60 12 03,14412 Potsdam, Germany Environmental Change Institute and Tyndall Centre, Oxford University, Oxford OX1 3QY, UK;

    Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Kraeftriket 2B, 10691 Stockholm, Sweden Stockholm Environment Institute, Kraeftriket 2B, 10691 Stockholm, Sweden;

    Department of Applied Environmental Science, Stockholm University,10691 Stockholm, Sweden;

    ARC Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies, James Cook University, Queensland 4811, Australia;

    School of Human Evolution & Social Change, Arizona State University, PO Box 872402, Tempe, Arizona 85287-2402, USA;

    Departrnent of Meteorology, Stockholm University, 10691 Stockholm, Sweden;

    Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Kraeftriket 2B, 10691 Stockholm, Sweden Division of History of Science and Technology, Royal Institute of Technology, Teknikringen 76, 10044 Stockholm, Sweden;

    Department of Soil, Water, and Climate, University of Minnesota, 439 Borlaug Hall, 1991 Upper Buford Circle, St. Paul, N 55108-6028, USA;

    Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Kraeftriket 2B, 10691 Stockholm, Sweden Guild Institute for Ecological Economics, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT 05405, USA;

    Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Kraeftriket 2B, 10691 Stockholm, Sweden;

    Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Kraeftriket 2B, 10691 Stockholm, Sweden Stockholm Internationa! Water Institute, Drottninggatan 33,11151 Stockholm, Sweden;

    Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Kraeftriket 2B, 10691 Stockholm, Sweden Stockholm Environment Institute, Kraeftriket 2B, 10691 Stockholm, Sweden;

    The H. John Heinz III Center for Science, Economics and the Environment, 900 17th Street, NW, Suite 700, Washington DC 20006, USA;

    Department of Biological Sciences, California State University San Marcos, 333 S Twin Oaks Valley Rd, San Marcos, CA 92096-0001, USA;

    NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, 2880 Broadway, New York, NY 10025, USA;

    Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Kraeftriket 2B, 10691 Stockholm, Sweden Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Organization, Sustainable Ecosystems, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia;

    Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford OX1 3QY, UK Institute of the Environment, University of Arizona, Tucson AZ 85721, USA;

    The faculty for Natural Sciences, Tagensvej 16, 2200 Copenhagen N, Denmark;

    Max Planck Institute for Chemistry, PO Box 30 60, 55020 Mainz, Germany;

    Institute on the Environment, University of Minnesota, 325 Vo Tech Building, 1954 Buford Avenue, St Paul, MN 55108, USA;

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