As much of southern Asia faces its worst drought for 30 years, the Indian government is being heavily criticized for its reliance on a statistical model to forecast the monsoon. The India Meteorological Department (IMD), based in New Delhi, uses the model to issue a forecast of the monsoon every spring. This May it issued a prediction saying that rainfall would be 101% of normal. But by 6 August, this forecast remained way off the mark, with about three-quarters of the country having received very little rain.
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