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Diffusion Models for Innovation: S-curves, Networks, Power Laws, Catastrophes, and Entropy

机译:创新扩散模型:S曲线,网络,幂定律,突变和熵

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摘要

This article considers models for the diffusion of innovation would be most relevant to the dynamics of early 21st century technologies. The article presents an overview of diffusion models and examines the adoption S-curve, network theories, difference models, influence models, geographical models, a cusp catastrophe model, and self organizing dynamics that emanate from principles of network configuration and principles of heat diffusion. The diffusion dynamics that are relevant to information technologies and energv-efficient technologies are compared. Finally, principles of nonlinear dynamics for innovation diffusion that could he used to rehabilitate the global economic situation are discussed.
机译:本文认为,创新扩散的模型与21世纪早期技术的发展最相关。本文概述了扩散模型,并研究了采用S曲线,网络理论,差异模型,影响模型,地理模型,风口突变模型和自组织动力学的过程,这些动力学源于网络配置原理和热扩散原理。比较了与信息技术和高能效技术相关的扩散动力学。最后,讨论了可以用于恢复全球经济状况的创新扩散的非线性动力学原理。

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