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首页> 外文期刊>The North American journal of economics and finance >Time-varying effects of macroeconomic news on euro-dollar returns
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Time-varying effects of macroeconomic news on euro-dollar returns

机译:宏观经济新闻对欧元兑美元收益的时变影响

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摘要

We investigate the intraday reaction of euro-dollar exchange rate returns to the US and European macroeconomic news during a period that spans the global financial crisis and the Euro-zone debt crisis. First, we assess whether announcements' impact is stable over time. We then use time-varying parameter path analysis to investigate whether the currency return response to macroeconomic news is sensitive to changes in market risk and interest rates. We find that news impact coefficients vary significantly over time. Our results also show that higher market risk measured by VIX dampens the effect of US news on euro-dollar returns.
机译:我们调查了跨越全球金融危机和欧元区债务危机期间的欧元兑美元汇率回报对美国和欧洲宏观经济消息的盘中反应。首先,我们评估公告的影响随着时间的推移是否稳定。然后,我们使用时变参数路径分析来调查货币对宏观经济新闻的收益响应是否对市场风险和利率的变化敏感。我们发现新闻影响系数随时间变化很大。我们的结果还表明,由VIX衡量的更高的市场风险抑制了美国新闻对欧元兑美元收益的影响。

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