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Spillovers and the determinants in Islamic equity markets

机译:伊斯兰股票市场的溢出和决定因素

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摘要

We investigate pair-wise, net and total return and volatility spillovers across 15 Islamic equity markets from widely dispersed locations. Using the generalized VAR-based spillovers index between 2007 and 2017, we find increasing interactions in return and volatility spillovers while the extent of spillovers has been asymmetric across the countries. Interestingly, we find the presence of persistent clustering of spillovers (viz., Qatar - UAE - Saudi Arabia and Turkey - Malaysia Indonesia). These clustered countries lead Islamic equity return and volatility spillovers in their respective regions. We do not find any supremacy of the cash and oil-rich GCC countries outside their region. Our results also highlight that in crises periods, aggregate spillovers across the Islamic equity markets intensify. Additionally, we employ cross-section analyses to investigate the underlying macroeconomic variables influencing the magnitude of such spillovers. We find convincing evidence of geographic proximity along with economic and financial linkages that explain the directions of return and volatility spillovers.
机译:我们调查了分散分布的15个伊斯兰股票市场的成对,净和总回报以及波动率溢出。使用2007年至2017年之间基于VAR的广义溢出指数,我们发现回报率和波动率溢出之间的相互作用不断增加,而各国之间的溢出程度却不对称。有趣的是,我们发现溢出效应持续存在(例如,卡塔尔-阿联酋-沙特阿拉伯和土耳其-马来西亚印度尼西亚)。这些聚集国家在各自地区领导伊斯兰股票收益率和波动性溢出。我们认为,在其地区以外,拥有大量现金和石油的海湾合作委员会国家没有任何优势。我们的结果还强调,在危机时期,整个伊斯兰股票市场的总溢出效应加剧。此外,我们采用横断面分析来研究影响此类外溢规模的潜在宏观经济变量。我们发现具有地理优势的令人信服的证据,以及可以解释收益率和波动率溢出方向的经济和金融联系。

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