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The impact of China's one belt one road initiative on international trade in the ASEAN region

机译:中国一带一条道路倡议对东盟地区国际贸易的影响

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摘要

This study explores the potential effects of China's 'One Belt One Road' (OBOR) policy on trade flows in ASEAN countries and China. We use the augmented gravity model of international trade and data on ASEAN countries and China from 2000 to 2016. The empirical results show that the coefficient of the OBOR dummy is positive and statistically significant, which implies that this policy benefits both ASEAN countries and China in terms of increased trade flows among these countries. In addition, the coefficients of other control variables, such as a common language, a common border, and distance, have the expected signs, and all are statistically significant. Thus, the OBOR policy initiative could be a promising mechanism for trade facilitation in these countries in the years to come.
机译:本研究探讨了中国“一带一条路”(OBOR)政策对东盟国家和中国贸易流量的潜在影响。我们将在2000年至2016年使用东盟国家和中国的国际贸易和数据的增强重力模型。实证结果表明,OBOR假人的系数是积极的和统计学意义,这意味着这一政策使东盟国家和中国融合在一起这些国家之间的贸易流量增加的条款。另外,其他控制变量的系数,例如公共语言,公共边界和距离,具有预期的迹象,并且所有这些都是统计学意义的。因此,OBOR政策倡议可能是未来几年这些国家的贸易便利化的有希望的机制。

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