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Monetary effects on nominal oil prices

机译:对名义油价的货币影响

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摘要

The paper presents a theory of nominal asset prices for competitively owned oil. Focusing on monetary effects, with flexible oil prices the US dollar oil price should follow the aggregate US price level. But with rigid nominal oil prices, the nominal oil price jumps proportionally to nominal interest rate increases. We find evidence for structural breaks in the nominal oil price that are used to illustrate the theory of oil price jumps. The evidence also indicates strong Granger causality of the oil price by US inflation as is consistent with the theory.
机译:本文提出了竞争性拥有石油的名义资产价格理论。着眼于货币效应,在灵活的油价下,美元油价应跟随美国总价水平。但是,在名义油价刚性的情况下,名义油价与名义利率的增长成比例地跳跃。我们发现了名义油价出现结构性断裂的证据,用于说明油价上涨的理论。证据还表明,美国通货膨胀对石油价格的强烈格兰杰因果关系与理论相符。

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