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The role of proximity to waterfront in residents' relocation decision-making post-Hurricane Sandy

机译:飓风桑迪过后,靠近海滨在居民搬迁决策中的作用

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The experience with Superstorm Sandy advanced the dialogue on the long-term response options that would minimize risks and ensure livability in high-risk coastal environments. One strategy considered permanent relocation of homes from flood-prone areas. However, little is known about the factors that might influence a homeowner's decision to relocate, how their home's proximity to the shoreline may affect their risk perceptions and willingness to relocate. This paper explores the role that proximity to the oceanfront plays in relocation decision-making. It examines geospatial determinants collected as a part of a 2013 household survey conducted post Hurricane Sandy and their relationship with survey responses and socioeconomic predisposition. The analysis uses geospatial data to assess the proximity attributes of participating households. The proximity parameters were statistically compared to the socioeconomic profile and survey responses. The results demonstrate that the location of surveyed households, even though adequately dispersed to the oceanfront proximity, had only a minor effect on the willingness to relocate, suggesting that non-geophysical factors, such as household-level confidence in the ability to adapt and continue habitation in such locations, values, and other qualitative personal factors play a larger role. The findings also show that participants living closer to the bay are more likely to consider relocation if exposed to repetitive flooding and offered participation in buyout program.
机译:超级风暴桑迪的经验推动了关于长期应对方案的对话,该方案应将风险最小化并确保在高风险沿海环境中的宜居性。一种策略考虑将房屋从洪灾多发地区永久搬迁。但是,对于可能影响房主搬迁决定的因素,房屋的靠近海岸线可能如何影响其风险认知和搬迁意愿的知之甚少。本文探讨了邻近沿海地区在搬迁决策中的作用。它检查了在桑迪飓风过后进行的2013年家庭调查中收集到的地理空间决定因素及其与调查响应和社会经济倾向的关系。该分析使用地理空间数据来评估参与家庭的邻近属性。将邻近参数与社会经济概况和调查响应进行统计比较。结果表明,尽管被调查家庭的位置充分分散在沿海附近,但对搬迁意愿的影响很小,这表明非地球物理因素,例如家庭层面对适应和持续能力的信心在这样的位置,价值观和其他定性的个人因素中的住所起着更大的作用。研究结果还表明,住在海湾附近的参与者如果遭受重复性洪水的侵扰,并愿意参与买断计划,则更有可能考虑搬迁。

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