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An analysis of the spatial and temporal differentiation and driving factors of the marine resource curse in China

机译：中国海洋资源诅咒的时空分异及其驱动因素分析

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摘要

Based on the connotation of a so-called resource curse, this paper uses panel data from 11 coastal provinces in China to explore the spatial and temporal evolution of the marine resource curse in China by calculating its coefficient using the kernel density estimation model and GIS spatial analysis techniques. The generalized method of moments estimation is adopted to quantitatively study the factors driving the marine resource curse in China. The results show the following. 1) From 1996 to 2014, the marine resource curse coefficient in China exhibited a declining trend and the phenomenon abated slightly, gradually narrowing the gap between the coastal provinces. 2) The spatial evolution of the marine resource curse in China clearly shows a southward trend in terms of severely affected areas. The edge area of the marine resource curse curve first showed an increase and then declined. There was little change in the main distribution area not affected by the marine resource curse. Among those coastal areas, the marine resource curse in Hebei, Liaoning, Jiangsu, and Guangdong improved with trends in development, while the situation in Zhejiang, Guangxi, and Hainan deteriorated. The situation in Tianjin fluctuated, while that in Shandong, Shanghai, and Fujian did not change significantly. 3) The main driving factors of the marine resource curse in China include the level of material capital investment, the degree of openness to the outside world, the structure of the marine industry, and the capability for scientific and technological innovation. These factors have differing yet significant impacts on the marine resource curse: the level of material capital investment has a significantly positive impact on the marine resource curse in China, while the other driving factors have negative impacts.
机译：基于资源诅咒的内涵，本文利用中国11个沿海省份的面板数据，通过核密度估计模型和GIS空间计算其系数，探索了中国海洋资源诅咒的时空演变。分析技术。采用广义矩估计法对我国海洋资源诅咒的驱动因素进行定量研究。结果显示如下。 1）1996年至2014年，中国海洋资源诅咒系数呈下降趋势，且现象有所减弱，逐步缩小了沿海省份之间的差距。 2）中国海洋资源诅咒的空间演变在受灾严重地区方面明显显示出向南的趋势。海洋资源诅咒曲线的边缘区域首先显示出上升，然后下降。在不受海洋资源诅咒影响的主要分布地区变化很小。在这些沿海地区中，河北，辽宁，江苏和广东的海洋资源诅咒随着发展趋势而改善，而浙江，广西和海南的情况则恶化了。天津的情况波动很大，而山东，上海和福建的情况则没有太大变化。 3）中国海洋资源诅咒的主要驱动因素包括物质资本投资水平，对外开放程度，海洋产业结构和科技创新能力。这些因素对海洋资源诅咒具有不同但显着的影响：物质资本投资水平对中国海洋资源诅咒具有显着的积极影响，而其他驱动因素则具有负面影响。

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