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Stakeholders' conceptualization of offshore aquaculture and small-scale fisheries interactions using a Bayesian approach

机译:利益相关者使用贝叶斯方法对离岸水产养殖和小型渔业互动的概念化

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摘要

Recent coastal planning measures in south-east Portugal (Algarve), where offshore aquaculture developments were set up in fishing areas aiming to maximize expected utility of seafood production activities, raised some discontentment. Public policies created to safeguard offshore aquaculture (OSA) producers and limit small-scale fishing (SSF) activities must be adjusted accordingly in order to maximize income and keep discontentment at a minimum. We collected primary data from stakeholders, fishers (n = 18) and offshore aquaculture operators (n = 3) through participatory workshops and interviews by eliciting problematic issues derived from the offshore area creation and their relative relevance. We used these data to populate conditional probability tables and construct a related influence diagram (Bayesian belief networks) to model the affected system. We selected nine scenarios based on navigability and aquaculture area size with the aim of finding the best expected utility combinations for the OSA SSF system. The inferred results show that maximizing employment and keep pollution at low levels were the most influential factors to keep the system at a satisfactory level. The best decision was not to enlarge the aquaculture area, but to condition the access to other operational stakeholders, namely SSF operators from nearby areas. The overall results of the Bayesian belief network can be used to recommend coastal planners and decision-makers to deal with the interaction between OSA and SSF activities.(c) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
机译:葡萄牙东南部(阿尔加威)最近的沿海规划措施在渔区建立了近海水产养殖业,旨在最大程度地发挥海产品生产活动的预期效用,这引起了一些不满。为了保障收入最大化和减少不满情绪,必须相应地调整为保护近海水产养殖业(OSA)生产者和限制小规模捕捞(SSF)活动而制定的公共政策。我们通过参与性研讨会和访谈,从利益相关者,渔民(n = 18)和近海水产养殖经营者(n = 3)中收集了主要数据,得出了由近海地区创建及其相关性引起的问题。我们使用这些数据来填充条件概率表,并构造一个相关的影响图(贝叶斯信念网络)来对受影响的系统进行建模。我们基于航行性和水产养殖面积的大小选择了九种方案,目的是为OSA SSF系统找到最佳的预期效用组合。推论结果表明,最大化就业和将污染保持在较低水平是使系统保持在满意水平的最重要因素。最好的决定不是扩大水产养殖面积,而是限制其他经营者的利益,即来自附近地区的SSF经营者。贝叶斯信仰网络的总体结果可用于推荐沿海计划者和决策者,以应对OSA和SSF活动之间的相互作用。(c)2017 Elsevier Ltd.保留所有权利。

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  • 来源
    《Ocean & coastal management》 |2017年第3期|70-82|共13页
  • 作者单位

    IPMA Portuguese Inst Ocean & Atmosphere, Av 5 Outubro S-N, P-8700305 Olhao, Portugal|Univ Algarve, CIEO Ctr Spatial & Org Dynam, Campus Gambelas, P-8005139 Faro, Portugal;

    IPMA Portuguese Inst Ocean & Atmosphere, Rua Alfredo Magalhaes Ramalho 6, P-1495006 Lisbon, Portugal;

    Univ Brest, IUEM European Inst Marine Sci, AMURE UMR6308, Rue Dumont DUrville, F-29280 Plouzane, France;

    IPMA Portuguese Inst Ocean & Atmosphere, Av 5 Outubro S-N, P-8700305 Olhao, Portugal|ICCAT, Corazon de Maria 8, Madrid 28002, Spain;

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