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Evaluation of geologic bearing capacity of coastal zones taking coastal area of Laizhou Bay as an example

机译:以莱州湾沿岸带为例的海岸带地质承载力评价

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The estuarine and coastal vulnerability around the world is increasing day by day, due to climate warming and sea level rise. And the resource-environmental pressure, caused by population expansion, also has been increasing. In a word, human interventions have caused lots of irreparable damages to the sensitive ecosystems in estuarine and coastal regions. Therefore, to carry out evaluations about ecological state and environmental bearing capacity is of great significance for environmental protection, as well as resource utilization. In this study, we constructed an indices system, which was based on a PSR model, to be used for the geologic bearing capacity assessment in coastal zones. There is no doubt that determination of indices weights is very important in the evaluation process, even it is a key factor restricting the ecological evaluation accuracy. Based on the above, we proposed a new weight determining method by fusing non-structural fuzzy number weighting and triangular fuzzy number weighting in the basis of the theories of fuzzy mathematics and named it as unstructured triangular fuzzy number weight determining method. In this new method, judgment matrix is used to calculate the relative importance among those indices included in the evaluation system with unstructured binary tone operators and rules of triangular fuzzy number. Therefore, this new method accords with the cognitive law of decision makers from macro to micro, and that three different experience attitudes (pessimistic, neutral, and optimistic) are fully considered can make the one-sidedness caused by a single attitude be avoided effectively. In addition, a new consistency test method entitled hierarchical sorting consistency test method was proposed to check the consistency of judgment matrix. This study took the coastal area around Laizhou Bay in Shandong Province of China for example and assessed the geologic bearing capacity here. The results indicate the geologic bearing capacity here is gradually increasing from the coast to the inland, and that the proposed weighting model is effective for eco-geological environment evaluation. (C) 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
机译:由于气候变暖和海平面上升,世界各地的河口和沿海脆弱性正在日益增加。人口膨胀引起的资源环境压力也在增加。一言以蔽之,人为干预对河口和沿海地区的敏感生态系统造成了许多无法弥补的破坏。因此,开展生态状况和环境承载力评价对环境保护和资源利用具有重要意义。在这项研究中,我们构建了一个基于PSR模型的指标体系,用于沿海地区的地质承载力评估。毫无疑问,指标权重的确定在评估过程中非常重要,即使它是限制生态评估准确性的关键因素。在此基础上,基于模糊数学理论,提出了一种融合非结构性模糊数加权和三角模糊数加权的权重确定方法,并将其称为非结构化三角模糊数权重确定方法。在这种新方法中,使用判断矩阵来计算具有非结构化二进制音调运算符和三角模糊数规则的评估系统中包含的那些指标之间的相对重要性。因此,这种新方法符合决策者从宏观到微观的认知规律,充分考虑了三种不同的经验态度(悲观,中立和乐观)可以有效避免单一态度引起的单面性。此外,提出了一种新的一致性测试方法,称为层次排序一致性测试方法,以检查判断矩阵的一致性。这项研究以中国山东省莱州湾附近的沿海地区为例,并评估了这里的地质承载力。结果表明,这里的地质承载力从沿海到内陆都在逐渐增加,所提出的权重模型对于生态地质环境评价是有效的。 (C)2016 Elsevier Ltd.保留所有权利。

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