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An evaluation and implementation of the regional coupled ice-ocean model of the Baltic Sea

机译:波罗的海区域耦合海洋模型的评估与实施

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摘要

A three-dimensional, regional coupled ice-ocean model based on the open-source Community Earth System Model has been developed and implemented for the Baltic Sea. The model consists of 66 vertical levels and has a horizontal resolution of approx. 2.3 km. The paper focuses on sea ice component results, but the main changes have been introduced in the ocean part of the coupled model. The hydrodynamic part, being one of the most important components, has been also presented and validated. The ice model results were validated against the Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) and satellite data, and the method of validation based on probability was introduced. In the last two decades, satellite and model results show an increase in the ice extent over the whole Baltic Sea, which is an evidence of a negative trend in air temperature in recent decades and increasing of winter discharge from the catchment area.
机译:已经为波罗的海开发并实施了一个基于开源社区地球系统模型的三维区域冰洋耦合模型。该模型包括66个垂直水准仪,水平分辨率约为。 2.3公里本文着重于海冰成分的结果,但主要的变化已引入耦合模型的海洋部分。流体动力学部分是最重要的组成部分之一,也已进行了介绍和验证。利用合成孔径雷达(SAR)和卫星数据对冰模型的结果进行了验证,并介绍了基于概率的验证方法。在过去的二十年中,卫星和模型结果表明,整个波罗的海的冰面积增加了,这表明近几十年来气温呈负趋势,并且集水区的冬季排放量增加。

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