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A subjective approach for ballast water risk estimation

机译:压载水风险评估的主观方法

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摘要

There has been growing concern on the impact of established non-indigenous invasive species discharged through ships' ballast water into recipient port states and maritime communities. This concern has been addressed through legislative instruments at both national and international levels. In the absence of comprehensive ballast water management plans, the Ballast Water Management Convention (2004) has made provision for the utilisation of risk assessment methodologies. Consequently, several risk assessment methodologies have been developed and applied in different ballast water research efforts. However, most of these methodologies adopt quantitative (probabilistic) approaches which are usually inadequate in addressing problems involving discharged ballast water and invasive species. A generic and robust model has been developed in this paper to deal with the problem of vagueness, uncertainty and inadequacy of data often associated with ballast water risk estimation. The model adopts a subjective (possibilistic) approach based on the application of fuzzy logic incorporated into the infection mode and effect analysis (IMEA) technique.
机译:人们越来越关注通过船舶压载水排入接收港口国和海洋社区的已建立的非土著入侵物种的影响。通过国家和国际两级的立法文书已经解决了这一关切。在缺乏全面的压载水管理计划的情况下,《压载水管理公约》(2004年)已经规定了使用风险评估方法的规定。因此,已经开发了几种风险评估方法,并将其应用于不同的压载水研究工作中。但是,大多数这些方法采用定量(概率)方法,这些方法通常不足以解决涉及排放压载水和入侵物种的问题。本文开发了一种通用且鲁棒的模型,以解决经常与压载水风险估计相关的数据的模糊性,不确定性和数据不足的问题。该模型基于将模糊逻辑应用到感染模式和效果分析(IMEA)技术的基础上,采用了主观(可能性)方法。

著录项

  • 来源
    《Ocean Engineering》 |2013年第15期|66-76|共11页
  • 作者单位

    School of Engineering, Technology and Maritime Operations, Liverpool John Moores University, Liverpool, L3 3AF, UK;

    Department of International Logistics, Chung-Ang University, South Korea;

    School of Engineering, Technology and Maritime Operations, Liverpool John Moores University, Liverpool, L3 3AF, UK;

    School of Engineering, Technology and Maritime Operations, Liverpool John Moores University, Liverpool, L3 3AF, UK;

    School of Engineering, Technology and Maritime Operations, Liverpool John Moores University, Liverpool, L3 3AF, UK;

  • 收录信息
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    ballast water; subjective approach; maritime safety;

    机译:压载水;主观方法;海上安全;

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