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Market Outlook

机译：市场展望

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Crude tanker market conditions have firmed notably in recent months, with spot earnings in the VLCC and Suezmax sectors surging to more than $50,000/day in January. Limited fleet growth in the last few years has contributed to tighter market conditions, with the significant drop in oil prices over the last few months, to below $50/bbl, also supporting firm crude import demand in countries, such as China, which reported record crude imports in December. Meanwhile, VLCC timecharter rates have firmed dramatically in the first few weeks of 2015, as trading and energy companies have taken advantage of the current contango in oil price futures, fixing a number of VLCCs on timecharter to store oil. Overall, improving crude oil imports to some countries, in addition to expectations that oil production by many major crude oil exporters will not be significantly cut despite the low price environment, should lead to improved growth in crude oil trade in 2015. This, in addition to the relatively slow projected growth in active crude tanker supply this year, should further support crude tanker market fundamentals in the short-term.
机译：近几个月来，原油油轮的市场状况尤其强劲，一月份，VLCC和苏伊士型油轮的现货收入上涨至每天50,000美元以上。过去几年船队的增长有限导致市场形势趋紧，近几个月来石油价格大幅下跌至每桶50美元以下，这也支持了中国等国家的坚挺原油进口需求十二月的原油进口。同时，由于贸易和能源公司已利用当前石油价格期货中的期货，固定了许多VLCC的时间表以存储石油，因此VLCC的时间表宪章率在2015年前几周急剧上升。总体而言，改善对某些国家的原油进口，除了人们期望尽管价格低迷，许多主要原油出口国的石油产量不会大幅下降，也应导致2015年原油贸易的增长。由于今年预计的活跃油轮供应量增长相对缓慢，短期内应进一步支撑油轮市场基本面。

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    《Oil & Tanker Trades Outlook》 |2015年第1期|3-3|共1页
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