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首页> 外文期刊>Peace and conflict >Revolutions, Coups, and Clashes: Using Implicit Motivations to Predict the Severity of Intranational Political Unrest
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Revolutions, Coups, and Clashes: Using Implicit Motivations to Predict the Severity of Intranational Political Unrest

机译：革命，政变和冲突：使用内隐动机来预测国际政治动荡的严重性

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摘要

Research has found that war is likely to break out in times when leaders are high in power motives and low in affiliation, however research has been limited to conflicts between Western countries. We examine 4 revolutionary movements in the Philippines to examine whether this pattern applies to political violence across cultures and conflict types (i.e., within-country vs. between-country). We also explore the role of achievement motives in intranational political unrest. We gathered speeches during 4 times of civil unrest in the Philippines to study implicit motives at various levels of threat. All 4 occurred in the same country, city, and street in the Philippines, with some of the same actors. We scored speeches for power, affiliation, and achievement motives. The highest power and lowest affiliation motives occurred during the most violent conflict. In addition, we found that higher violence was associated with lower achievement motives.
机译：研究发现，当领导人的权力动机高而隶属关系低时，战争很可能爆发，但是研究仅限于西方国家之间的冲突。我们研究了菲律宾的4次革命运动，以研究这种模式是否适用于跨文化和冲突类型（即国家内部与国家之间）的政治暴力。我们还探讨了成就动机在国际国内政治动荡中的作用。我们在菲律宾四次内乱期间收集了演讲，研究了各种威胁程度下的内在动机。所有这4个人都发生在菲律宾的同一国家/地区，城市和街道上，其中一些演员也一样。我们为演讲的权力，隶属关系和成就动机打了分数。在最激烈的冲突中，权力最高，隶属动机最低。此外，我们发现，较高的暴力行为与较低的成就动机有关。

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