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首页> 外文期刊>Physical Oceanography >Influence of processes in the ocean–atmosphere system in the North Atlantic on the intraannual variation of climatic characteristics on the territory of Ukraine
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Influence of processes in the ocean–atmosphere system in the North Atlantic on the intraannual variation of climatic characteristics on the territory of Ukraine

机译：北大西洋海洋-大气系统的过程对乌克兰境内气候特征年内变化的影响

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摘要

We make an attempt to study specific features of weather- and climate-forming processes developing due to the energy and mass transfer between the ocean and the atmosphere in the North Atlantic, as well as responses of the climate of Ukraine to the main climate-forming factors. These studies are based on a statistical model in the form of a system of third-order regression equations with feedback. We deduce a system of generating functions that allow us to estimate the regression coefficients. Within the developed model, we applied the factor analysis to compress the input information about the affecting factors in the region where the weather ships were located. This allowed us to reveal the tendencies of variations in the characteristics participating in the energy and mass transfer. The response of the climate in various regions of Ukraine to the processes running in the North Atlantic was determined using the cluster analysis whose algorithm was developed by the authors. We performed a number of experiments for various situations in the region of the North Atlantic that are possible due to the global warming of the climate and studied the response of climatic characteristics on the territory of Ukraine under similar processes. The adequacy of the developed model was verified on the basis of data on the real situation in February 2006. It is shown that the model satisfactorily describes the responses of climatic characteristics in regions of Ukraine to variations of the affecting factors in the North Atlantic.
机译：我们尝试研究由于北大西洋海洋与大气之间的能量和质量转移而形成的天气和气候形成过程的特定特征，以及乌克兰气候对主要气候形成的响应因素。这些研究基于具有反馈的三阶回归方程组形式的统计模型。我们推导了一个生成函数的系统，该函数允许我们估计回归系数。在开发的模型中，我们应用了因子分析来压缩有关天气船所在区域中影响因子的输入信息。这使我们能够揭示参与能量和质量传递的特性变化的趋势。使用由作者开发的聚类分析确定了乌克兰各个地区的气候对在北大西洋运行的过程的响应。由于全球气候变暖，我们对北大西洋地区的各种情况进行了许多实验，并研究了乌克兰领土在类似过程中气候特征的响应。根据2006年2月的实际数据验证了所开发模型的适当性。结果表明，该模型令人满意地描述了乌克兰地区气候特征对北大西洋影响因素变化的响应。

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