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Fuzzy cognitive maps for issue identification in a water resources conflict resolution system

机译：水资源冲突解决系统中问题识别的模糊认知图

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摘要

In water management, conflicts of interests are inevitable due to the variety in quality demands and the number of stakeholders, which are affected in different ways by decisions concerning the use of the resources. Ignoring the differences among interests involved in water resources management and not resolving the emerging conflicts could lead to controversial strategies. In such cases, proposed solutions could generate strong opposition, making these solutions unfeasible. In our contribution, a Community Decision Support System is proposed. Such a system is able to support discussion and collaboration. The system helps participants to structure their problem, to help them learn about possible alternatives, their constraints and implications and to support the participants in the specification of their own preferences. More in detail, the proposed system helps each user in representing and communicating problem perspectives. To reach this aim, cognitive maps are used to capture parts of the stakeholders' point of view and to enhance negotiation among individuals and organizations. The aim of the negotiation process is to define a shared cognitive map with regard to water management problems. Such a map can be called a water community cognitive map. The system performance has been tested by simulating a real conflict on water resources management that occurred some years ago in a river basin in the south of Italy.
机译：在水管理中，由于质量要求的多样性和利益相关者的数量，利益冲突是不可避免的，这取决于有关资源使用的决定以不同的方式受到影响。忽视涉及水资源管理的利益之间的差异，不解决新出现的冲突，可能会导致有争议的战略。在这种情况下，建议的解决方案可能会引起强烈反对，从而使这些解决方案不可行。在我们的贡献中，提出了一个社区决策支持系统。这样的系统能够支持讨论和协作。该系统帮助参与者构造问题，帮助他们了解可能的选择，约束和含义，并支持参与者制定自己的偏好。更详细地，所提出的系统帮助每个用户表示和传达问题观点。为了达到这个目的，认知地图被用来捕捉利益相关者观点的一部分，并增强个人和组​​织之间的谈判。谈判过程的目的是针对水管理问题定义一个共享的认知图。这样的地图可以称为水域认知地图。通过模拟几年前在意大利南部流域发生的水资源管理上的实际冲突，对系统性能进行了测试。

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