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Do We Really Have A Pilot Shortage?

机译:我们真的有飞行员短缺吗?

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The aviation world is by now well aware that we have a pilot shortage, and not only in the United States, either. The world's largest manufacturer of aircraft, Boeing Company, keeps close tabs on the pilot market, for obvious reasons. If there aren't enough pilots, then who will fly the planes they build? Seems obvious. What is less intuitive is that the pilot market has an impact on Boeing's market because the airlines expand service based on their abilities to run their operations. If they can't get pilots, they can't very well introduce new routes. And if they don't add to their business, they don't need to buy new planes. Like Boeing, these airlines make their projections many years into the future. So the number of pilots available today and in the years to come directly affects future orders. Because airlines order their planes many years in advance, projected pilot staffing levels will affect present-day orders, too. If there won't be enough pilots to go around, let alone expand service, in 2022, that lack of confidence in the ability to staff up will affect the airlines' outlook and orders.
机译:到目前为止,航空界已经意识到,我们不仅在美国,而且还存在飞行员短缺的情况。由于明显的原因,全球最大的飞机制造商波音公司一直密切关注飞行员市场。如果没有足够的飞行员,那么谁来驾驶他们建造的飞机?似乎很明显。不太直观的是,飞行员市场会对波音市场产生影响,因为航空公司会根据其运营能力来扩展服务。如果他们没有飞行员,他们就不可能很好地介绍新路线。如果他们不增加业务量,就不需要购买新飞机。像波音一样,这些航空公司对未来做出了许多预测。因此,如今以及未来几年可用的飞行员数量直接影响到未来的订单。由于航空公司要提前很多年订购飞机,因此飞行员的人员配置水平也会影响当前的订单。如果没有足够的飞行员到处走动,更不用说在2022年扩大服务范围了,对人员配备能力缺乏信心将影响航空公司的前景和订单。

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    《Plane & pilot》 |2018年第8期|24-24|共1页
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