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Police effectiveness and democracy: shape and direction of the relationship

机译：警察效力与民主：关系的形式和方向

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摘要

Purpose - The purpose of the paper is to show that four plausible hypotheses can be formulated (positive linear, negative linear, convex curvilinear, and concave curvilinear) to explain the impact of democratization on the ability of police to produce security. Design/methodology/approach - Multiple regression analyzing measures of police effectiveness from the Executive Opinion Survey (World Economic Forum) and indicators of democratization (Freedom House) for 59 countries was performed to evaluate the four hypotheses. Findings - Results strongly supported the convex curvilinear hypothesis that democracy and police effectiveness maintained a U-shape association. Undemocratic countries and the advanced democracies experienced the highest levels of police effectiveness, whereas middle-range countries showed lower ratings of police performance. Research limitations/implications - Despite initial discontents with the police, emerging democracies could expect improved police effectiveness should they persist in the path of democratic consolidation, which strengthens law enforcement institutions in the long run. The use of cross-sectional data on business analysts' perceptions precluded causal inferences and restricted the generalizability of the findings. Hypotheses should be tested with longitudinal data from more representative samples in future research. Originality/value - Most comparative studies of police are qualitative and most quantitative police research focuses on single societies. This cross-national quantitative comparison of policing analyzed the complex issue of police effectiveness and concluded that sustained global democratization portends transnational convergence in more effective policing.
机译：目的-本文的目的是说明可以提出四个合理的假设（正线性，负线性，凸曲线和凹曲线）来解释民主化对警察产生安全性的影响。设计/方法/方法-对59个国家/地区的执行意见调查（世界经济论坛）和民主化指标（自由之家）进行了警察效力的多元回归分析，以评估这四个假设。结果-结果强烈支持凸曲线曲线假说，即民主和警察效力保持U型联系。非民主国家和先进民主国家的警察效力水平最高，而中端国家的警察绩效等级较低。研究的局限性/意义-尽管最初对警察不满，但新兴民主国家如果坚持民主巩固的道路，则可以期望提高警察效力，从长远来看，这将加强执法机构。使用有关业务分析师看法的横截面数据可以排除因果关系，并限制了调查结果的普遍性。在未来的研究中，应该使用来自更具代表性的样本的纵向数据来检验假设。创意/价值-警察的大多数比较研究都是定性的，而大多数定量的警察研究则集中在单个社会上。这项对警务的跨国定量比较分析了警察效力的复杂问题，并得出结论认为，持续的全球民主化预示着跨国在更加有效的警务中趋同。

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  • 来源
    《Policing》 |2006年第2期|p.347-367|共21页
  • 作者

    Hung-En Sung;

  • 作者单位

    Department of Law, Police Science, and Criminal Justice Administration, John Jay College of Criminal Justice, New York, USA;

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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 国家行政管理;
  • 关键词

    police; policing; democracy;

    机译：警察;治安;民主;

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