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The uncertain potential of policy-learning: a comparative assessment of three varieties

机译：政策学习的不确定潜力：三个品种的比较评估

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摘要

This article reviews recent conceptual debates on cross-national and cross-sectoral policy-learning in the political science literature. It proceeds from the argument that the existing literature is characterised by the absence of a comparative assessment of the risks and potentials of different strategies of policy learning. This sin of omission does not only have significant implications for the study of policy learning but also for its practice. The authors use the normative concept of improvement-oriented learning to assess the risks and potentials of three learning strategies: imitation, Bayesian updating and deliberation. They observe that the distribution of risks and potentials is most advantageous in deliberative learning strategics, but that imitation is the most risky learning strategy, and Bayesian updating ranges somewhere in-between.
机译：本文回顾了政治科学文献中有关跨国和跨部门政策学习的最新概念性辩论。从这一论点出发，现有文献的特征是缺乏对不同政策学习策略的风险和潜力的比较评估。这种疏忽大罪不仅对政策学习的研究具有重要意义，而且对实践也有重要意义。作者使用面向改进的学习的规范概念来评估三种学习策略的风险和潜力：模仿，贝叶斯更新和审议。他们观察到，风险和潜能的分布在深思熟虑的学习策略中最有利，但模仿是最危险的学习策略，贝叶斯更新介于两者之间。

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