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首页> 外文期刊>IEEE Transactions on Power Delivery >Time sequential distribution system reliability worth analysis considering time varying load and cost models
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Time sequential distribution system reliability worth analysis considering time varying load and cost models

机译：考虑到时变负荷和成本模型的时序配电系统可靠性值得分析

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摘要

This paper presents a time sequential Monte Carlo simulation technique for evaluating customer unreliability costs in distribution systems. Annual chronological load models for different individual customer sectors are developed and used in the analysis. Random load fluctuations are combined with the time varying load models to recognize the residual uncertainty associated with system load. The concept of time varying cost weight factors is introduced. The customer damage function (CDF) is combined with the time varying cost weight factors to create a time varying cost model (TVCM) for each individual customer. The TVCM for seven customer sectors are developed and used in the evaluation. The results show that different load and cost models result in different interruption costs which can lead to different planning and operating decisions.
机译：本文提出了一种时序蒙特卡洛模拟技术，用于评估配电系统中客户的不可靠性成本。针对不同客户领域的年度时间负荷模型已开发出来并用于分析。随机负载波动与时变负载模型相结合，以识别与系统负载相关的残余不确定性。引入了时变成本权重因子的概念。客户损害函数（CDF）与时变成本权重因子结合在一起，为每个单独的客户创建时变成本模型（TVCM）。开发了用于七个客户部门的TVCM，并将其用于评估。结果表明，不同的负载和成本模型会导致不同的中断成本，从而导致不同的计划和运营决策。

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