On the Strategy for the Economic Security and Socioeconomic Development of Russia

V.B. Daskovsky

摘要

On May 13, 2017, the "Strategy for the Economic Security of the Russian Federation up to 2030" was ratified by the Russian government. This article considers the major question the "Strategy" tries to answer: How can Russia's economic security by achieved and maintained? One major problem facing Russia today is the lack of government regulation of the economy. We consider some of the negative consequences of the lack of regulation, in particular massive deindustrializa-tion. We describe several causes of deindustrialization (e.g., failed privatization and the absence of investment) and propose several ways that government regulation can facilitate the reindustrialization of the national economy (reinvesting resource wealth and creating long-term loans). Finally, we argue that to reverse negative economic trends, Russia must adopt a two-phase strategy to be completed in twelve years (2019-2030), which necessitates the mobilization of major financial and organizational resources. The first six-year phase (2019-2024) covers the massive innovative reconstruction of existing low-profit and negative-profit enterprises, and the second stage (2025-2030) will create large modern enterprises. The main goal for this twelve-year strategy is to bring the Russian economy into the orbit of the industrialized countries and to use the system of innovation accumulated during this time to start the new stage of state-corporate capitalism characterized by industrialization.

机译：2017年5月13日，俄罗斯政府批准了“俄罗斯联邦经济安全战略”。本文考虑了“战略”试图回答的主要问题：俄罗斯如何通过实现和维持俄罗斯的经济安全？俄罗斯今天面临的一个主要问题是缺乏政府对经济的监管。我们考虑一些缺乏监管的负面后果，特别是大规模的deindustrializa-tion。我们描述了若干事业化的原因（例如，私有化和缺乏投资），并提出了几种方法，即政府监管可以促进国民经济的重新设计（再投资资源财富和创造长期贷款）。最后，我们认为，为了逆转负面的经济趋势，俄罗斯必须采用两阶段策略，在十二年（2019-2030）中完成，这需要动员主要的财政和组织资源。前六年阶段（2019-2024）涵盖了现有的低利润和负利润企业的大规模创新重建，第二阶段（2025-2030）将创造大型现代化企业。这一12年战略的主要目标是将俄罗斯经济带入工业化国家的轨道，并在此期间累计创新制度，以启动国家公司资本主义的新阶段，以产业化为特征。

On the Strategy for the Economic Security and Socioeconomic Development of Russia

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