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Rent Is Our Everything

机译：租金就是我们的一切

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摘要

This article discusses the threats and opportunities of Russia's forthcoming economic development. The author shares his point of view that the country has become strongly dependent on natural resource rents generated in the economy's extractive sectors, mainly in oil and gas production. The energy and raw materials version of economic development is supported by a group of interests in the power and manufacturing elites, which are found in those industrial and infrastructure sectors that are based on mature "rent distribution chains." In this case, it is becoming practically impossible to overcome the inertia of energy and raw materials development. Conclusion: transition to development based on innovation will begin only after significant reduction of natural resource rents. Two versions of the forecast for Russia's economic development up to 2030 are also analyzed. These versions, energy and raw materials and innovation, were recently produced by the Ministry of Economic Development of the Russian Federation. The analysis shows that the differences between the versions are not qualitative.
机译：本文讨论了俄罗斯即将发展的经济发展所面临的威胁和机遇。作者同意他的观点，即该国已严重依赖经济采掘部门产生的自然资源租金，主要是石油和天然气生产。经济发展的能源和原材料版本得到了电力和制造业精英群体的支持，这些利益群体建立在以成熟的“租金分配链”为基础的工业和基础设施领域。在这种情况下，几乎不可能克服能源和原材料开发的惯性。结论：只有在大幅减少自然资源租金之后，才能开始基于创新的发展。还分析了俄罗斯到2030年经济发展的两种预测。这些版本，能源，原材料和创新，是俄罗斯联邦经济发展部最近生产的。分析表明版本之间的差异不是定性的。

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  • 来源
    《Problems of Economic Transition》 |2014年第10期|78-89|共12页
  • 作者

    N.I. Suslov;

  • 作者单位

    Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering, Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Novosibirsk;

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  • 正文语种 eng
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