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首页> 外文期刊>Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers. Municipal Engineer >Structural damage to housing and effects on users due to seismic risk: a case study
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Structural damage to housing and effects on users due to seismic risk: a case study

机译：住房的结构损坏和对用户造成地震风险的影响：案例研究

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摘要

A probabilistic risk assessment is presented for earthquakes in the northwest of the Mexican state of Baja California. Six seismic sources are considered for determining the seismic hazard, and vulnerability and exposure are associated with the structural integrity of one- and two-storey houses and the population density of their users. The risk assessment is based on the Central America probabilistic risk assessment model. The impact estimate is performed for the two most-populated cities in Baja California, namely Mexicali and Tijuana. The results show that for earthquakes with magnitudes of M-w = 6.4-7.2 and return periods of up to 100 years, 2850 people are affected on average, with economic losses of US$144 million.
机译：据墨西哥加州墨西哥州西北地震呈现了概率风险评估。 考虑确定地震危害的六种地震来源，漏洞和曝光与单层和两层房屋的结构完整性以及其用户的人口密度有关。 风险评估基于中美洲概率风险评估模型。 对Baja California的两个最具人口稠密的城市进行了影响估计，即Mexicali和Tijuana。 结果表明，对于M-W = 6.4-7.2大幅度的地震，返回期高达100年，人们平均影响了2850人，经济损失为1.44亿美元。

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