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Simple scaling may forecast storminess in warmer climates

机译:简单缩放可能会预测在温暖气候下的暴风雨

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摘要

In the midlatitudes, storm systems transport momentum, energy, and water throughout the atmosphere. Because weather is fundamentally linked to global climate through ocean circulation, carbon cycling, and other climate system feedbacks, numerous studies have sought to predict how future global warming will change storm intensity. Paul O'Gorman (pp. 19176-19180) used present-day meteorological observations of seasonal storm track cycles to confirm a linear relationship between storm intensity and a thermodynamic quantity known as "mean available potential energy," or MAPE.
机译:在中纬度地区,风暴系统在整个大气层中传输动量,能量和水。由于天气从根本上通过海洋环流,碳循环和其他气候系统反馈与全球气候相关,因此许多研究试图预测未来的全球变暖将如何改变风暴强度。保罗·奥格曼(Paul O'Gorman,pp。19176-19180)使用当今气象学对季节性风暴轨迹周期的观测来确认风暴强度与热力学量(称为“平均可用势能”或MAPE)之间的线性关系。

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