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首页> 外文期刊>Process safety progress >The COVID-19 pandemic: Is it a 'Black Swan'? Some risk management challenges in common with chemical process safety
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The COVID-19 pandemic: Is it a 'Black Swan'? Some risk management challenges in common with chemical process safety

机译：Covid-19大流行：是'黑天鹅'？有些风险管理挑战与化学过程安全共同

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摘要

As we write this commentary while under stay-at-home orders (two of us in the U.S., and the other in Germany), the number of individuals infected with the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus has surpassed 1.6 million confirmed global cases and more than 95 000 fatalities. The pandemic continues to spread exponentially in all regions of the world. The trajectory and ultimate outcome of this pandemic is still unfolding but we can already be certain that the consequences to life and livelihood throughout the world will be enormous.We have spent much time during our careers focused on efforts to prevent catastrophic process safety events, which are typically characterized as having both very high impact and very low probability/frequency. There are strong parallels between prevention of catastrophes in chemical process safety and prevention of catastrophic pandemics, beginning with the concepts of loss of containment/loss of control of hazards.
机译：正如我们在留在留在家庭订单（美国的两个人）的那里写下这项评论，所以在德国的另一个人和另一个人下），所感染的人的人数超过了SAR-COV-2冠状病毒的人数超过了160万确认的全球案件等等超过95 000人死亡。大流行继续在世界的所有地区呈指数级。这种流行病的轨迹和终极结果仍然展开，但我们已经可以肯定会肯定，全世界的生命和生计的后果将是巨大的。我们在我们的职业生涯中度过了很多时间，专注于防止灾难性过程安全事件的努力，这通常表征具有非常高的影响和非常低的概率/频率。预防化学过程安全性和预防灾难性流行病之间的灾难之间存在强有力的平行，从遏制/危险控制丧失的损失的概念开始。

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  • 来源
    《Process safety progress》 |2020年第2期|e12160.1-e12160.3|共3页
  • 作者

    John F. Murphy; Jerry Jones; James Conner;

  • 作者单位

    Process Safety Services Punta Gorda Florida;

    AIChE Center for Chemical Process Safety (CCPS) New York New York;

    Eiger Consulting LLC Houston Texas;

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  • 正文语种 eng
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