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首页> 外文期刊>Promet-traffic & transportation >CHINESE HIGH-SPEED RAILWAY: EFFICIENCY COMPARISON AND THE FUTURE
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CHINESE HIGH-SPEED RAILWAY: EFFICIENCY COMPARISON AND THE FUTURE

机译：中国高速铁路：效率的比较和未来

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摘要

High-speed railway (HSR) network building was initiated in China in the early 2000s, and full-scale construction began several years later as a larger use phase started in 2008. Thereafter, the expansion speed has been impressive. Network investment could be considered as a success, if evaluating the amount of high-speed railway usage already during the expansion phase. The diffusion models built in this research show that expansion in the network and growth of the passengers will continue at least until the following decade. The performance is evaluated in terms of DEA efficiency model. It is shown that efficiency started from very low levels, but it has been increasing together with the expansion of HSR network. Currently, the efficiency is near the level of the leading European High-speed (HS) countries (Germany and France). However, it is projected with linear model and by Bass diffusion models that the efficiency will reach Japanese and South Korean standards in the next decade. A somewhat larger network length with smaller relative growth of passengers, but with a higher growth of passenger-km seems to be able to reach even the frontier efficiency.
机译：中国高速铁路（HSR）网络建设始于2000年代初，随着2008年开始大规模使用，几年后开始全面建设。此后，扩展速度令人印象深刻。如果在扩展阶段就已经评估了高速铁路的使用量，则网络投资可以被认为是成功的。这项研究建立的扩散模型表明，网络的扩展和乘客的增长将至少持续到下一个十年。根据DEA效率模型评估性能。结果表明，效率从非常低的水平开始，但是随着高铁网络的扩展，效率一直在提高。目前，效率已接近欧洲领先的高速（HS）国家（德国和法国）的水平。但是，通过线性模型和Bass扩散模型预测，该效率将在未来十年内达到日本和韩国的标准。较长的网络长度和较少的乘客相对增长，但随着乘客公里数的增加，似乎甚至可以达到前沿效率。

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