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THE POLITICAL ECONOMY OF GREEN GROWTH: CASES FROM SOUTHERN AFRICA

机译:绿色增长的政治经济:来自非洲的案例

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The concept of Green Growth implies that a wide range of developmental objectives, such as job creation, economic prosperity and poverty alleviation, can be easily reconciled with environmental sustainability. This article, however, argues that rather than being win-win, Green Growth is similar to most types of policy reforms that advocate the acceptance of short-term adjustment costs in the expectation of long-term gains. In particular, Green Growth policies often encourage developing countries to redesign their national strategies in ways that might be inconsistent with natural comparative advantages and past investments. In turn, there are often sizeable anti-reform coalitions whose interests may conflict with a Green Growth agenda. We illustrate this argument by using case studies of Malawi, Mozambique and South Africa, which are engaged in development strategies that involve inorganic fertilizers, biofuel production and coal-based energy, respectively. Each of these countries is pursuing an environmentally suboptimal strategy but nonetheless addressing critical development needs, including food security, fuel and electricity. We show that adopting a Green Growth approach would not only be economically costly but also generate substantial domestic resistance, especially among the poor.
机译:绿色增长的概念意味着,广泛的发展目标,例如创造就业机会,经济繁荣和减轻贫困,可以很容易地与环境可持续性相协调。但是,本文认为,绿色增长不是双赢的,它与大多数类型的政策改革类似,后者主张在接受长期收益的情况下接受短期调整成本。特别是,绿色增长政策经常鼓励发展中国家以可能与自然比较优势和过去投资不一致的方式重新设计其国家战略。反过来,通常会有规模庞大的反改革联盟,其利益可能会与绿色增长议程发生冲突。我们通过使用马拉维,莫桑比克和南非的案例研究来说明这一论点,它们分别参与了涉及无机肥料,生物燃料生产和煤基能源的发展战略。这些国家中的每个国家都在追求环境上不理想的战略,但仍然满足包括粮食安全,燃料和电力在内的关键发展需求。我们表明,采用绿色增长方法不仅会造成经济上的损失,而且还会引起国内的巨大阻力,尤其是在穷人当中。

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