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A spatial dominance approach to evaluate the performance of stocks and bonds: Does the investment horizon matter?

机译:评估股票和债券表现的空间优势方法:投资范围重要吗?

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The common advice by practitioners is to allocate a greater proportion of stocks for long-term investors than for short-term investors. However, part of the academic literature disagrees with this advice. We use a spatial dominance test which is suited for comparing alternative investments for a given time horizon. Using daily data for the US from 1962 to 2012, we test for dominance of cumulative returns series for stocks versus bonds at different investment horizons from 1 to 15 years. We find evidence that bonds second order spatially dominate stocks for horizons from 1 to 4 years. In contrast, for horizons of 6 years and longer, we find evidence that stocks dominate bonds. The conclusion that bonds dominate stocks at short horizons, while stocks dominate bonds at long horizons is consistent across different periods and international markets. When different portfolios of stocks and bonds are compared, we find that for long investment horizons only those portfolios with a sufficiently high proportion of stocks are efficient in the sense of spatial dominance.
机译:从业人员的普遍建议是,与短期投资者相比,将更多比例的股票分配给长期投资者。但是,部分学术文献不同意这一建议。我们使用空间优势测试,该测试适合比较给定时间范围内的替代投资。使用1962年至2012年美国的每日数据,我们测试了在1到15年的不同投资期限内,股票与债券的累计收益序列的优势。我们发现证据表明,二阶债券在1到4年的时间里在空间上主导着股票。相反,对于6年或更长时间的研究,我们发现有证据表明股票主导债券。在不同时期和国际市场上,债券在短期内主导股票,而股票在长期内主导债券的结论是一致的。当比较股票和债券的不同投资组合时,我们发现,就长期投资而言,只有具有足够股票比例的那些投资组合在空间优势上才是有效的。

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