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What helps people recover from floods? Insights from a survey among flood-affected residents in Germany

机译:什么能帮助人们从洪水中恢复?来自对德国受洪水影响的居民进行的一项调查的见解

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摘要

The number of people exposed to natural hazards has grown steadily over recent decades, mainly due to increasing exposure in hazard-prone areas. In the future, climate change could further enhance this trend. Still, empirical and comprehensive insights into individual recovery from natural hazards are largely lacking, hampering efforts to increase societal resilience. Drawing from a sample of 710 residents affected by flooding across Germany in June 2013, we empirically explore a wide range of variables possibly influencing self-reported recovery, including flood-event characteristics, the circumstances of the recovery process, socio-economic characteristics, and psychological factors, using multivariate statistics. We found that the amount of damage and other flood-event characteristics such as inundation depth are less important than socio-economic characteristics (e.g., sex or health status) and psychological factors (e.g., risk aversion and emotions). Our results indicate that uniform recovery efforts focusing on areas that were the most affected in terms of physical damage are insufficient to account for the heterogeneity in individual recovery results. To increase societal resilience, aid and recovery efforts should better address the long-term psychological effects of floods.
机译:在最近几十年中,受到自然灾害影响的人数稳步增长,这主要是由于在容易发生灾害的地区增加了自然灾害的发生率。未来,气候变化将进一步加强这一趋势。但是,仍然缺乏从自然灾害中个人恢复的经验和全面的见解,从而阻碍了提高社会适应力的努力。 2013年6月,我们从德国710名受洪灾影响的居民中抽取了样本,从经验上探索了可能影响自我报告恢复的广泛变量,包括洪水事件特征,恢复过程的情况,社会经济特征以及心理因素,使用多元统计。我们发现,破坏程度和其他洪水事件特征(例如淹没深度)不如社会经济特征(例如性别或健康状况)和心​​理因素(例如风险规避和情绪)重要。我们的结果表明,针对受物理损害影响最大的区域进行的统一恢复工作不足以说明单个恢复结果中的异质性。为了增强社会适应力,援助和恢复工作应更好地解决洪水的长期心理影响。

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