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Community perception, adaptation and resilience to extreme weather in the Yucatan Peninsula, Mexico

机译:社区感知,适应和适应极端天气在墨西哥尤卡坦半岛的极端天气

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摘要

Perceptions of climate change, the impacts of and responses to climatic variability and extreme weather are explored in three communities in the Yucatan Peninsula, Mexico, in relation to livelihood resilience. These communities provide examples of the most common livelihood strategies across the region: small-scale fisheries (San Felipe) and semi-subsistence small-holder farming (Tzucacab and Calakmul). Although the perception that annual rainfall is reducing is not supported by instrumental records, changes in the timing of vital summer rainfall and an intensification of the mid-summer drought (canicula) are confirmed. The impact of both droughts and hurricanes on livelihoods and crop yields was reported across all communities, although the severity varied. Changes in traditional milpa cultivation were seen to be driven by less reliable rainfall but also by changes in Mexico's agricultural and wider economic policies. Diversification was a common adaptation response across all communities and respondents, resulting in profound changes in livelihood strategies. Government attempts to reduce vulnerability were found to lack continuity, be hard to access and too orientated toward commercial scale producers. Population growth, higher temperatures and reduced summer rainfall will increase the pressures on communities reliant on small-scale farming and fishing, and a more nuanced understanding of both impacts and adaptations is required for improved livelihood resilience. Greater recognition of such local-scale adaptation strategies should underpin the developing Mexican National Adaptation Policy and provide a template for approaches internationally as adaptation becomes an increasingly important part of the global strategy to cope with climate change.
机译:对气候变化的看法,对气候变异性和极端天气的影响和反应在墨西哥尤卡坦半岛的三个社区中探讨了与生计恢复力相关。这些社区提供了整个地区最常见的生计策略的例子:小规模渔业(SAN Felipe)和半生活小持有人养殖(Tzucacab和Calakmul)。虽然仪器记录不支持年降雨量减少的感知,但确认了重要夏季降雨量的变化和中夏天干旱(Canicula)的增长。所有社区都报道了干旱和飓风对生计和作物产量的影响,虽然严重程度不同。传统米尔帕种植的变化被认为是通过较低的降雨驱动,也受到墨西哥农业和更广泛的经济政策的变化。多元化是所有社区和受访者的共同适应性,导致生计战略的深刻变化。政府试图减少脆弱性缺乏连续性,难以进入和太朝向商业规模的生产者。人口增长,较高的温度和夏季降雨量的减少将增加对小规模养殖和捕捞的依赖的社区压力,并且需要更加细致的影响和适应的理解,以改善生计弹性。对这种地方规模适应策略的更大承认应该支持发展墨西哥国家适应政策,并为国际接近的方法提供模板,因为适应成为应对气候变化的全球战略的越来越重要的部分。

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