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Economic, equitable, and affordable adaptations to protect coastal settlements against storm surge inundation

机译:经济,公平和负担得起的适应措施,以保护沿海住区免受风暴潮的淹没

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摘要

The distribution of risk of coastal inundation, and the potential benefits of adapting to protect against inundation, vary greatly both within and between coastal communities. This diversity is a result of physical factors, such as the risk of storm surge, sea level rise projections, and the topography of the landscape, as well as socio-economic factors, such as the level of development, and the capacity within the community to adapt. Despite this strong local variation, various communities share common characteristics that constrain or enable different adaptation options in different situations. Understanding these drivers is likely to be important in engaging coastal communities in the discussion around adaptation and may provide new insights into which adaptation options are suitable for each of our at-risk coastal communities. We performed a property-level analysis of 6 suburb-sized case studies distributed along the coast of Queensland, Australia. We assessed the potential economic costs of inundation events now and in the future under sea level rise projections, and the potential avoided costs following adaptation to protect against inundation. We went beyond this to estimate the distribution of risk in each community and compared the potential costs of adaptation with the capacity of the community to pay for their implementation. We used these insights to propose a typology of coastal communities based on their exposure to total inundation risk, the distribution of that risk within the community, and their capacity to adapt.
机译:沿海社区内部和社区之间,沿海淹没风险的分布以及适应保护以免遭受淹没的潜在利益都有很大差异。这种多样性是由于物理因素(例如风暴潮的风险,海平面上升的预测和景观的地形)以及社会经济因素(例如发展水平和社区内部能力)的结果去适应。尽管存在很大的局部差异,但各个社区具有共同的特征,这些共同特征在不同情况下限制或启用了不同的适应方案。了解这些驱动因素对于使沿海社区参与有关适应的讨论可能很重要,并且可能提供新的见解,使适应方案适合我们每个处于风险中的沿海社区。我们对分布在澳大利亚昆士兰州沿海的6个郊区规模的案例研究进行了物业级别的分析。我们根据海平面上升预测评估了现在和将来淹没事件的潜在经济成本,以及为防止淹没而进行调整后可能避免的成本。我们超越了这一点,估计了每个社区的风险分布,并将适应的潜在成本与社区为实施风险付费的能力进行了比较。我们根据这些洞察力对总淹没风险的承受程度,该风险在社区内的分布以及他们的适应能力,提出了沿海社区的类型学。

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