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首页> 外文期刊>Regional Environmental Change >Characteristics and drivers of forest cover change in the post-socialist era in Croatia: evidence from a mixed-methods approach
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Characteristics and drivers of forest cover change in the post-socialist era in Croatia: evidence from a mixed-methods approach

机译：克罗地亚后社会主义时期森林覆盖率变化的特征和动因：混合方法的证据

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摘要

Extensive forests in Croatia represent an important biological and economic resource in Europe. They are characterised by heterogeneity in forest management practices dating back to the socialist planned economy of the pre-1991 era. In this study we investigated the difference in rates of deforestation and reforestation in private- and state-owned forests during the post-socialist period and the causal drivers of change. The selected region of Northern Croatia is characterised by a high percentage of privately owned forests with minimal national monitoring and control. We used a mixed-methods approach which combines remote sensing, statistical modelling and a household-based questionnaire survey to assess the rates of forest cover change and factors influencing those changes. The results show that predominantly privately owned forests in Northern Croatia have recorded a net forest loss of 1.8 % during the 1991-2011 period, while Croatia overall is characterised by a 10 % forest cover increase in predominantly state-owned forests. Main factors influencing forest cover changes in private forests are slope, altitude, education structure, population age and population density. The results also show that the deforestation in private forests is weakening overall, mostly due to the continuation of the de-agrarisation and de-ruralisation processes which began during socialism.
机译：克罗地亚广泛的森林是欧洲重要的生物和经济资源。它们的特点是森林管理实践的异质性可以追溯到1991年前期的社会主义计划经济。在这项研究中，我们调查了后社会主义时期私有林和国有林中森林砍伐率和再造林率的差异以及变化的因果驱动力。克罗地亚北部的选定地区的特点是私有林的比例很高，而对国家的监测和控制却很少。我们采用了一种混合方法，结合了遥感，统计模型和基于家庭的问卷调查，以评估森林覆盖率的变化率和影响这些变化的因素。结果表明，在1991年至2011年期间，克罗地亚北部主要是私有林的净森林损失为1.8％，而克罗地亚的总体特征是主要国有林的森林覆盖率增加了10％。影响私有林森林覆盖率变化的主要因素是坡度，海拔，教育结构，人口年龄和人口密度。结果还表明，私有林的森林砍伐总体上正在减弱，这主要是由于社会主义时期开始的去农业化和去农村化进程的持续进行。

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