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Assessing suitability of apple cultivation under climate change in mountainous regions of western Nepal

机译:评估尼泊尔西部山区气候变化下苹果种植的适宜性

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摘要

Mustang, a mountainous region in the Kali Gandaki River Basin in western Nepal, has been increasingly experiencing climatic changes (e.g., higher temperatures). Rising temperatures lead to ecological shifts, which, in turn, can lead to the expansion of the lower limit for the cultivation of apple trees in this area. Apple cultivation can provide opportunities for adaptations under climate change through vulnerability reduction, income source diversification, livelihood improvement, and capacity building for farmers. As there is a lack of a strong basis to justify the expansion of apple cultivation in Mustang, this study examines the biophysical and socioeco-nomic suitability of apple cultivation in the area. Necessary data and information were collected from both primary and secondary sources. Findings of biophysical suitability using variable and equal weights to the indicators showed that 5.2 and 4.1 % of the areas are highly suitable for apple cultivation, respectively. However, not all potential farming areas are currently in use. Thus, there is the possibility to expand apple cultivation into unplanted areas and to integrate apple crops with other crops on cultivated lands. Increasing temperature may increase the suitable areas for the cultivation of apples in the coming years. High, benefit-cost ratio for land use confirmed the economic suitability of apple fanning when compared to other land uses. The social suitability assessment showed no social discords, conflicts, or disagreements with apple cultivation, which is a positive indicator for the expansion of apple cultivation in western Nepal.
机译:尼泊尔西部卡利甘达基河流域的山区野马一直在经历着气候变化(例如更高的温度)。气温上升导致生态变化,反过来又可能导致该地区苹果树种植下限的扩大。苹果种植可以通过减少脆弱性,收入来源多样化,改善生计和农民能力建设,为适应气候变化提供机会。由于缺乏充分的依据来证明野马苹果种植的合理性,本研究考察了该地区苹果种植的生物物理和社会经济适应性。从主要和次要来源收集了必要的数据和信息。使用可变和相等权重的指标发现的生物物理适宜性表明,分别有5.2%和4.1%的面积非常适合苹果种植。但是,当前并非所有潜在的耕作区都在使用。因此,有可能将苹果种植扩大到未种植的地区,并使苹果作物与耕地上的其他作物融合。温度升高可能会在未来几年增加苹果种植的合适面积。与其他土地用途相比,土地用途的高收益成本比率证实了苹果耕作的经济适用性。社会适应性评估显示,苹果种植没有社会矛盾,冲突或分歧,这是尼泊尔西部苹果种植扩大的积极指标。

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  • 来源
    《Regional Environmental Change》 |2014年第2期|743-756|共14页
  • 作者单位

    International Research Center for River Basin Environment (ICRE),University of Yamanashi, 4-3-11 Takeda,Kofu, Yamanashi 400-8511, Japan,Department of Civil Engineering, Graduate School of Engineering, Tohoku University, 6-6-06, Aoba,Sendai 980-8579, Japan;

    Asian Institute of Technology and Management (AITM),Knowledge Village, Khumaltar Heights, Lalitpur, Nepal;

    International Research Center for River Basin Environment (ICRE),University of Yamanashi, 4-3-11 Takeda,Kofu, Yamanashi 400-8511, Japan;

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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    Apple; Climate change; Kali Gandaki River Basin; Mountain; Mustang; Nepal;

    机译:苹果;气候变化;卡利甘达基河流域;山;野马尼泊尔;

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