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首页> 外文期刊>Regional Environmental Change >Adaptive measures for mountain Mediterranean forest ecosystem services under climate and land cover change in the Mont-Ventoux regional nature park, France
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Adaptive measures for mountain Mediterranean forest ecosystem services under climate and land cover change in the Mont-Ventoux regional nature park, France

机译：法国Mont-ventoux地区自然公园气候和土地覆盖下山地中海森林生态系统服务的自适应措施

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摘要

Climate change (CC) and land use and land cover change (LULCC) threaten Mediterranean forests and the ecosystem services (ES) they provide. In complex socio-ecological systems and under high uncertainties, the resilience of ES has become the target objective for adaptive management strategies driven by decision-makers and local stakeholders. This work develops an integrative and territorial approach to combining biophysical modeling and local managers' assessments to elaborate scenarios of LULCC in response to climate and socioeconomic changes. It also evaluates the impacts of forest ecosystem changes on coupled ES for different time horizons for a case study of the mountain Mediterranean forests of Mont-Ventoux regional nature park. The results demonstrate first that the future ES provisions predicted by biophysical modeling in this area are less affected by CC than expected by local managers. Furthermore, LULCC increases the changes in ES provision and accentuates the difference between climate scenarios. These results originate from a combination of two effects: (1) pessimistic predictions by local managers and, as a consequence, and (2) anticipatory actions that tend to reinforce or even accelerate the expected changes in the mountain Mediterranean forest area.
机译：气候变化（CC）和土地利用和土地覆盖变更（LULCC）威胁地中海森林和他们提供的生态系统服务。在复杂的社会生态系统和在高不确定性的情况下，ES的抵御能力已成为由决策者和当地利益相关者驱动的适应性管理策略的目标目标。这项工作促进了一体化和领土方法，使生物物理建模和地方管理人员的评估结合起来，以应对气候和社会经济变化的阐述情节。它还评估了森林生态系统变化对不同时间视野的影响，以便在蒙特 - 尤特托克地区自然公园山地中海森林案例研究。首先，该领域在该地区的生物物理学建模预测的未来ES规定的证明尚未受到当地经理的预期。此外，LULCC增加了ES提供的变化，并强调了气候情景之间的差异。这些结果来自两种影响的组合：（1）当地经理的悲观预测，以及（2）倾向于加强甚至加快山地中海森林面积的预期变化的预期行动。

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