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Long-term increase in climatic dryness in the East-Mediterranean as evidenced for the island of Samos

机译:萨摩斯岛证明了东地中海气候的长期干旱

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摘要

The Eastern Mediterranean region is among the regions which were predicted to become drier under IPCC climate scenarios. Here, we document a gradual reduction of rainfall and tree growth and the loss of rural springs during the last decades of the twentieth century. Years with severe drought are associated with very low tree growth (dendrochronology) and dry falling of springs as evidenced by interviews with local stakeholders. The paper discusses the consequences of accelerating drought on natural vegetation and agriculture and points at the interaction with fire dynamics and economy, both likely to enhance the drought effect.
机译:在IPCC气候情景下,地中海东部地区预计将变得更干燥。在这里,我们记录了二十世纪最后几十年的降雨和树木生长的逐渐减少以及农村温泉的丧失。与当地利益相关者的访谈证明,干旱严重的年份与树木生长非常缓慢(树志年表)和春季干旱落下有关。本文讨论了干旱加剧对自然植被和农业的影响,并指出了与火灾动态和经济的相互作用,两者都可能增强干旱效应。

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