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Oceanic islands and climate: using a multi-criteria model of drivers of change to select key conservation areas in Galapagos

机译:海洋群岛和气候:使用改变司机的多标准模型选择加拉帕戈斯的关键保护区

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The unique marine and terrestrial ecosystems of the Galapagos Islands are highly vulnerable to human-based drivers of change, including the introduction of invasive species, unsustainable tourism, illegal fishing, overexploitation of ecosystem services, and climate change. These drivers can interact with climate-based drivers such as El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) at multiple temporal and spatial scales, exacerbating their negative impacts on already fragile ecosystems and the socioeconomic system of the Archipelago. In this review, we performed a literature review based on published literature from 1945 to 2020 and local and global climate databases to analyze drivers of change in the Galapagos. We developed and applied a spatial impact assessment model to identify high-ecological value areas with high sensitivity and exposure scores to environmental change drivers. We identified 13 priority HEVA that encompass ca. 23% (14,715 km(2)) of the Galapagos Archipelago, distributed in nearly 3% of the Galapagos Marine Reserve and 20% Galapagos National Park. Current and future impacts are likely to concentrate on the inhabited islands' highlands, whereas marine impacts concentrate along most of the Galapagos Islands' shorelines. These results are important for guiding the design and implementation of adaptation measures aimed at increasing ecosystem resilience and human adaptive capacity in the face of global environmental change. Overall, these results will be valuable in their application for preserving Galapagos biota, securing the provision of vital ecosystem services for resident human populations, and sustaining the nature-based tourism industry.
机译:加拉帕戈斯群岛的独特海洋和陆地生态系统非常容易受到基于人类的变革驱动因素的影响,包括引入侵入性物种,不可持续的旅游,非法捕捞,生态系统服务的过度捕捞以及气候变化。这些司机可以在多个时间和空间尺度下与基于气候的驱动因素(如EL Nino-Southern振荡(ENSO)互动,加剧了对已经脆弱的生态系统和群岛的社会经济系统的负面影响。在本次审查中,我们根据1945年至2020年的发布文学进行了文献综述,以及本地和全球气候数据库,分析了加拉帕戈斯的变革驱动因素。我们开发并应用了空间影响评估模型,以确定具有高灵敏度和暴露分数的高生态价值区域与环境变化司机。我们确定了包含CA的13个优先权HEVA。 23%(14,715公里(2))加拉帕戈斯群岛,分布在近3%的加拉帕戈斯海岸储备和20%加拉帕戈斯国家公园。当前和未来的影响可能会集中在居住的岛屿的高地上,而海洋影响集中在大多数加拉帕戈斯群岛的海岸线上。这些结果对于指导设计和实施适应措施的设计和实施是在全球环境变革面前增加生态系统恢复力和人类自适应的。总体而言,这些结果对于保留加拉帕戈斯生物群的申请是有价值的,确保为居民人类人群提供重要的生态系统服务,并维持基于自然的旅游业。

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