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Cognitive modeling and dynamic probabilistic simulation of operating crew response to complex system accidents Part 1: Overview of the IDAC Model

机译:操作人员对复杂系统事故的响应的认知建模和动态概率模拟,第1部分:IDAC模型概述

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摘要

This is the first in a series of five papers that discuss the information, decision, and action in crew context (IDAC) model for human reliability analysis (HRA). An example application of this modeling technique is also discussed in this series. The model is developed to probabilistically predict the responses of the nuclear power plant control room-operating crew during an accident for use in probabilistic risk assessments. The operator response spectrum includes cognitive, emotional, and physical activities during the course of the accident. This paper provides an overview of the IDAC architecture and principles of implementation as a HRA model. IDAC includes a crew model of three types of operators: decision maker, action taker, and consultant. Within the crew context, each individual operator's behaviors are simulated through a cognitive model under the influence of a number of explicitly modeled performance-influencing factors.
机译:这是五篇系列文章中的第一篇,该系列文章讨论了用于人员可靠性分析(HRA)的机组人员上下文(IDAC)模型中的信息,决策和动作。在本系列中还将讨论这种建模技术的示例应用。该模型的开发是为了概率地预测事故期间核电站控制室操作人员的反应,以用于概率风险评估。操作员的反应范围包括事故过程中的认知,情感和身体活动。本文概述了IDAC体系结构和作为HRA模型的实现原理。 IDAC包括三种类型的操作员的乘员模型:决策者,采取行动的人和顾问。在机组人员的环境中,每个操作员的行为都是通过认知模型在许多显式建模的绩效影响因素的影响下进行模拟的。

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