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Theoretical derivation of wind plant power distribution with the consideration of wind turbine reliability

机译：考虑风力发电机组可靠性的风力发电厂功率分配的理论推导

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摘要

The wind power generated by a wind plant has a stochastic nature due to randomness in the wind speed. Although the empirical distribution of the wind power has been extensively studied by using data sets in different regions, several works focused on theoretical distribution of the wind power produced by wind turbines. In this paper, the theoretical distribution of the wind plant power is obtained. In the derivation of the distribution of the wind plant power, wind turbine reliability is taken into account. The wind plant power distribution can be effectively used if the wind speed probability distribution is known. Theoretical results are illustrated for Weibull and Bimbaum-Saunders wind speed distributions which have been found to be suitable for real data collected at two different locations.
机译：由风力发电厂产生的风力由于风速的随机性而具有随机性。尽管已经通过使用不同区域中的数据集对风能的经验分布进行了广泛的研究，但是一些工作着重于风力涡轮机产生的风能的理论分布。本文获得了风电厂功率的理论分布。在推导风力发电厂的功率时，要考虑风力涡轮机的可靠性。如果已知风速概率分布，则可以有效地使用风力发电厂的功率分布。 Weibull和Bimbaum-Saunders风速分布的理论结果得到了说明，发现这些分布适合于在两个不同位置收集的真实数据。

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