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Perspectives on risk: review and discussion of the basis for establishing a unified and holistic approach

机译:风险观点:审查和讨论建立统一和整体方法的基础

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摘要

There exist many perspectives on risk, including safety engineering, social scientist perspectives, risk perception research and economic decision analysis. Traditionally, some of the different perspectives have been viewed to represent completely different frameworks, and the exchange of ideas and results has been difficult. Much of the existing discussions on risk perspectives have in our view lacked a sufficient level of precision on the fundamental ideas of risk assessments and management. For example, there is more than one line of thinking in risk analysis and assessment and mixing all approaches into one, gives a rather meaningless discussion. In this paper, we review some of the most common perspectives on risk. We show that it is possible to establish a common basis for the different perspectives, by looking at risk as the full spectrum of the dimensions (a) possible consequences and (b) associated uncertainties. Examples from the offshore oil and gas industry are included to illustrate ideas.
机译:关于风险存在很多观点,包括安全工程,社会科学家观点,风险感知研究和经济决策分析。传统上,一些不同的观点被认为代表了完全不同的框架,并且思想和结果的交流一直很困难。我们认为,关于风险观点的许多现有讨论在风险评估和管理的基本思想上缺乏足够的精确度。例如,在风险分析和评估中有不止一种思路,将所有方法混合在一起,进行了相当无意义的讨论。在本文中,我们回顾了一些最常见的风险观点。我们表明,通过将风险视为维度的全谱,可以为不同的观点建立共同的基础(a)可能的后果和(b)相关的不确定性。包括来自海上石油和天然气行业的示例以说明想法。

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