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Systematic review of human and organizational risks for probabilistic risk analysis in high-rise buildings

机译：高层建筑中概率风险分析的人体和组织风险系统综述

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摘要

For fire risk experts, the most parsimonious model is one that identifies errors due to human and organizational factors (HOFs) that can be changed through a series of interventions. This is a difficult task because of the dearth of studies to identify these types of events. However, it is possible to examine and identify human and organizational errors (HOEs) within fire risk situations. Many errors identified in fire risk environments are due to human factors that can be changed through employee training and development. In addition, many organizational factors, such as safety culture, can be changed over time through transformational interventions that shift existing mindsets. This paper presents a systematic review to identify errors due to human and organizational factors that apply to and potentially affect risk estimates in fire safety modelling of high-rise buildings. First, the paper describes the types of errors that occur in fire risk situations and then provides a review that categorizes and links human and organizational factors. The paper is both a qualitative and quantitative review, drawing on research from quantitative studies and case studies, including the Grenfell Fire. The review offers insights and recommendations to incorporate human and organizational risks into probabilistic risk analyses and suggests future directions for research.
机译：对于火灾风险专家来说，最具典范的模型是一种识别可能通过一系列干预措施改变的人类和组织因素（HOFS）而识别错误的模型。这是一项艰巨的任务，因为研究了识别这些类型的事件的缺乏。但是，可以在火灾风险情况下检查和识别人类和组织错误（锄头）。在火灾风险环境中确定的许多误差是由于人类因素可以通过员工培训和发展改变。此外，许多组织因素，如安全文化，可以随着转变现有心态的转化干预而随着时间的推移而改变。本文提出了系统审查，以识别由于人类和组织因素而申请和可能影响高层建筑物消防安全建筑风险估计的错误。首先，本文描述了在火灾风险情况下发生的错误类型，然后提供了分类和链接人类和组织因素的综述。本文既有定性和定量综述，涉及量化研究和案例研究的研究，包括Grenfell Fire。审查提供了洞察力和建议，以将人类和组织风险纳入概率风险分析，并表明未来的研究方向。

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