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Sector decomposition of China's national economic carbon emissions and its policy implication for national ETS development

机译：中国国民经济碳排放量的行业分解及其对国家碳排放权交易体系发展的政策意义

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摘要

Uncovering the contributions of each sector's driving factors to the growth of national economic carbon emissions has great significance for China in developing its nationwide emission trading scheme (ETS). The paper applies the index decomposition analysis (IDA) and logarithmic mean divisia index (LMDI) model to discuss the underlying drivers behind China's national economic carbon emissions during the period 1996-2012 from both sector and factor decomposition perspectives and accordingly offers policy proposals for China's national ETS development. Major conclusions include: (1) Six heavy industry sectors, the transport & storage & post sector, and the construction sector are the largest contributors, and hence proposed for incorporation into the ETS's coverage. (2) The rapid expansion of economic output dominantly increases carbon emissions. The design of cap on emissions should allow for a proper increment and establish a new entrant reserve to coordinate economic development. (3) As the dynamics of carbon emissions vary markedly across sectors, allowance allocation needs to consider the changing sectoral structure of emissions. (4) The combined effects of sectoral energy intensity and structure changes largely offset carbon emissions. Benchmarking is suggested as an ideal allocation mechanism, and the setup of sectoral carbon intensity benchmark should synthetically evaluate the potential impacts of related factors. (5) Manufacturer-based manner and carbon offset mechanism are respectively recommended for the initial implementation of carbon trading in the transport & storage & post sector and the construction sector.
机译：揭示每个行业的驱动因素对国民经济碳排放量增长的贡献，对于中国制定全国排放交易计划（ETS）具有重要意义。本文运用指数分解分析（IDA）和对数平均除数指数（LMDI）模型从部门分解和要素分解的角度讨论了1996-2012年中国国民经济碳排放的潜在驱动因素，并据此为中国的碳排放政策提供了政策建议。国家碳交易体系发展。主要结论包括：（1）六个重工业部门，运输与仓储和邮政部门以及建筑部门是最大的贡献者，因此建议将其纳入ETS的覆盖范围。 （2）经济产出的迅速增长主要增加了碳排放量。排放上限的设计应允许适当增加，并建立新的进入储备以协调经济发展。 （3）由于各部门之间碳排放的动态变化显着，因此配额分配需要考虑不断变化的部门排放结构。 （4）部门能源强度和结构变化的综合影响在很大程度上抵消了碳排放。建议将基准作为理想的分配机制，部门碳强度基准的设置应综合评估相关因素的潜在影响。 （5）建议在运输，仓储和邮政部门和建筑部门的碳交易的初始实施中分别采用基于制造商的方式和碳补偿机制。

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  • 来源
    《Renewable & Sustainable Energy Reviews》 |2017年第8期|855-867|共13页
  • 作者

    Jiang Jingjing; Ye Bin; Xie Dejun; Li Ji; Miao Lixin; Yang Peng;

  • 作者单位

    South Univ Sci & Technol China, Sch Financial Math & Engn, Shenzhen, Peoples R China|Harbin Inst Technol, Shenzhen Grad Sch, Sch Civil & Environm Engn, Shenzhen, Peoples R China;

    Tsinghua Univ, Res Ctr Modern Logist, Grad Sch Shenzhen, Shenzhen, Peoples R China;

    South Univ Sci & Technol China, Sch Financial Math & Engn, Shenzhen, Peoples R China;

    Harbin Inst Technol, Shenzhen Grad Sch, Sch Civil & Environm Engn, Shenzhen, Peoples R China;

    Tsinghua Univ, Res Ctr Modern Logist, Grad Sch Shenzhen, Shenzhen, Peoples R China;

    Tsinghua Univ, Res Ctr Modern Logist, Grad Sch Shenzhen, Shenzhen, Peoples R China;

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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    Carbon emissions; Sector decomposition; LMDI; Carbon trading; China;

    机译：碳排放;部门分解;LMDI;碳交易;中国;

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