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Deep transitions: Emergence, acceleration, stabilization and directionality

机译:深度过渡:出现,加速,稳定和方向性

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Industrial society has not only led to high levels of wealth and welfare in the Western world, but also to increasing global ecological degradation and social inequality. The socio-technical systems that underlay contemporary societies have substantially contributed to these outcomes. This paper proposes that these socio-technical systems are an expression of a limited number of meta-rules that, for the past 250 years, have driven innovation and hence system evolution in a particular direction, thereby constituting the First Deep Transition. Meeting the cumulative social and ecological consequences of the overall direction of the First Deep Transition would require a radical change, not only in socio-technical systems but also in the meta-rules driving their evolution – the Second Deep Transition. This paper develops a new theoretical framework that aims to explain the emergence, acceleration, stabilization and directionality of Deep Transitions. It does so through the synthesis of two literatures that have attempted to explain large-scale and long-term socio-technical change: the Multi-level Perspective (MLP) on socio-technical transitions, and Techno-economic Paradigm (TEP) framework.
机译:工业社会不仅导致西方世界的财富和福利水平高涨,而且导致全球生态退化和社会不平等加剧。构成当代社会基础的社会技术体系为这些成果做出了巨大贡献。本文提出,这些社会技术系统是有限元规则的表达,在过去的250年中,这些元规则已经推动了创新并因此朝着特定方向发展,从而构成了第一个深度过渡。要满足“第一次深度过渡”总体方向的累积社会和生态后果,就需要进行彻底的改变,这不仅需要在社会技术系统中进行,而且还需要在推动其发展的元规则-“第二次深度过渡”中进行。本文建立了一个新的理论框架,旨在解释深度过渡的出现,加速,稳定和方向性。它是通过对试图解释大规模和长期社会技术变革的两篇文献进行综合而得出的:关于社会技术转型的多层次观点(MLP)和技术经济范式(TEP)框架。

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