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首页> 外文期刊>Research in transportation economics >A nested logit model of mode choice for inland movement of export shipments: A case study of containerised export cargo from India
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A nested logit model of mode choice for inland movement of export shipments: A case study of containerised export cargo from India

机译：出口货物向内陆运输的模式选择的嵌套logit模型：以印度集装箱出口货物为例

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Predominance of containerised mode of transport for export of general cargo has influenced the mode choices on the inland segment. Prior to containerisation the general cargo for export moved to ports invariably on road in break bulk form. Growth of containerisation led to development of inland terminals enabling an exporter to obtain export clearance at the inland points. This process facilitated an exporter to move cargo either in break bulk or in containerised form, and as inland terminals facilitated aggregation an exporter could move cargo either by road or rail. Thus containerisation increased the inland transport options for an exporter from one to three. The paper develops discrete choice models in the Indian context for inland movement of containerised export cargo. Primary data was collected from 124 export firms through a structured questionnaire. This data is supplemented with data from transport firms and terminal operators. Using the above data, a nested logit model with rail container and road truck in one branch was found to predict the mode choice behaviour best. Amongst the transport attributes, total cost and total transit time were found to be influencing the mode choices significantly. The study however did not find the effect of reliability and loss and damage significant. In addition, the model also predicts that non transport attributes - like the percentage of letters of credit that materialise with inland way bills and the value of export benefits that materialise after export - are important in the mode choice decision.
机译：集装箱运输在一般货物出口中的主导地位影响了内陆地区的运输方式选择。在进行集装箱装箱之前，用于出口的一般货物始终以散装散装的形式运至公路上的港口。集装箱运输的增长导致内陆码头的发展，使出口商能够在内陆点获得出口通关。这一过程促进了出口商以散装或集装箱形式运输货物，而内陆码头促进了集​​散，出口商可以通过公路或铁路运输货物。因此，集装箱化将出口商的内陆运输选择从一增加到三。本文在印度的背景下针对集装箱出口货物的内陆运输开发了离散选择模型。通过结构化问卷从124家出口公司收集了主要数据。此数据补充有运输公司和码头运营商的数据。使用以上数据，发现一个嵌套的logit模型，其中铁路集装箱和公路卡车在一个分支中，可以最好地预测模式选择行为。在运输属性中，总成本和总运输时间被发现显着影响模式选择。然而，该研究并未发现可靠性，损失和损坏的影响显着。此外，该模型还预测，非运输属性（例如，以内陆单据兑现的信用证的百分比以及在出口后兑现的出口收益的价值）在模式选择决策中很重要。

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