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It's a SinContraceptive Use, Religious Beliefs, and Long-run Economic Development

机译:这是一种避孕方法,宗教信仰和长期经济发展

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摘要

This study presents a novel theory on the interaction of social norms, fertility, education, and their joint impact on long-run economic development. The theory takes into account that sexual intercourse is utility enhancing and that the use of modern contraceptives potentially conflicts with prevailing social norms (religious beliefs). The theory motivates the existence of two steady states. At the traditional steady state, the economy stagnates, fertility is high, education is minimal, and the population sustains a norm according to which modern contraceptives are not used. At the modern steady state, the population has abandoned traditional beliefs, modern contraceptives are used, fertility is low and education and economic growth are high. Social dynamics explain why both equilibria are separated by a saddlepoint-equilibrium (a separatrix), i.e. why it is so hard to transit from the traditional regime to the modern regime.
机译:这项研究提出了一种关于社会规范,生育力,教育及其对长期经济发展的共同影响的新颖理论。该理论考虑到性交会增强效用,使用现代避孕药具可能会与现行的社会规范(宗教信仰)发生冲突。该理论激发了两个稳态的存在。在传统的稳定状态下,经济停滞不前,生育率高,教育程度低,人口维持着不使用现代避孕药的规范。在现代稳定状态下,人们放弃了传统观念,使用了现代避孕药具,生育率低,教育和经济增长高。社会动力解释了为什么两个均衡都被一个鞍点均衡(分离线)所分开,即为什么很难从传统政权过渡到现代政权。

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  • 来源
    《Review of development economics》 |2017年第3期|543-566|共24页
  • 作者

    Prettner Klaus; Strulik Holger;

  • 作者单位

    Univ Hohenheim, Inst Econ, Schloss, Museumsflugel, D-70599 Stuttgart, Germany;

    Univ Goettingen, Dept Econ, Pl Goettinger Sieben 3, D-37073 Gottingen, Germany;

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  • 正文语种 eng
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