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A MICRO-ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS OF THE ANTIPOVERTY EFFECT OF SOCIAL CASH TRANSFERS IN ITALY

机译:意大利社会现金转移对破产影响的微观计量分析

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We analyze the anti-poverty effect of social cash transfers using a micro-econometric approach. Aggregate analyses, based on comparing average poverty indicators before and after public transfers, fail to address who receives the transfers and how the transfers are distributed among the poor. We consider three dichotomous outcome variables: (ⅰ) poverty status before the receipt of transfers; (ⅱ) the receipt of transfers; and (ⅲ) poverty status after the receipt of transfers. We use a trivariate probit model with sample selection, connecting the outcome variables to the characteristics of the household and its head. Our empirical results highlight that the Italian social transfers system overprotects certain household typologies at the expense of others, as social transfers are primarily awarded to employees with permanent positions and the elderly, while the system is not generous enough to large households with dependant children, the self-employed, temporary contract workers, and the unemployed.
机译:我们使用微观计量经济学方法分析了社会现金转移支付的反贫困效应。在比较公共转移前后平均贫困指标的基础上进行的综合分析未能说明谁接受了转移,以及转移如何在穷人中分配。我们考虑三个二元结果变量:(ⅰ)接受转移支付之前的贫困状况; (ⅱ)转让收据; (ⅲ)收到转移支付后的贫困状况。我们使用带有样本选择的三变量概率模型,将结果变量与家庭及其户主的特征联系起来。我们的经验结果表明,意大利的社会转移支付制度过度保护了某些家庭类型,却损害了其他类型的利益,因为社会转移支付主要是授予具有永久职位的员工和老年人,而该系统对于那些有抚养子女的大家庭而言却不够慷慨。自雇,临时合同工和失业者。

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