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ECONOMIC INSECURITY AND FERTILITY INTENTIONS: THE CASE OF ITALY

机译:经济不安全和生育倾向:以意大利为例

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摘要

We aim to provide an explanation for the combination of the relatively low female participation rates and lowest-low fertility levels in Italy. Starting from the assumption that childbearing decisions also depend on uncertainty about future employment, income, and wealth, we empirically assess how fertility intentions are affected by job instability, which may severely compromise the employment stability of workers, and economic disadvantages in terms of household income and wealth, which may imply insufficient means to deal with potential adverse future events, thereby generating in the household feelings of anxiety and economic insecurity. We show that the instability of women's work status (i.e., the holding of occasional and precarious jobs) significantly discourages the decision to attempt having a first child. Low levels of household wealth significantly and positively influence the decision to postpone attempting a first child. The chances of further childbirth are significantly and negatively influenced by household income insecurity.
机译:我们旨在为女性参与率较低和意大利生育率最低至最低水平的结合提供一种解释。从假设生育的决定还取决于未来就业,收入和财富的不确定性的假设出发,我们凭经验评估生育意图如何受到工作不稳定的影响,这可能严重损害工人的就业稳定性以及家庭收入方面的经济劣势和财富,这可能意味着没有足够的手段来应对潜在的未来不良事件,从而使家庭产生焦虑和经济不安全感。我们表明,妇女工作状况的不稳定(即担任临时和不稳定的工作)极大地阻碍了尝试生第一个孩子的决定。家庭财富水平低下对决定推迟生育第一个孩子的决定产生了积极而积极的影响。家庭收入不安全状况严重影响了进一步分娩的机会。

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